443 matches analysed today 120 live now 30-day hit rate 74% 14:45 WATTelegram18+
Kenya FKF Premier League Sun 15 Nov 2026 Full time
2–1
Half-time 2–0
65%Kenya Police23%Draw12%Posta Rangers FC

Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC prediction: Under 3.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Under 3.5 goals

2.0 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 86% of the model's runs. Mind Score 86.

86Mind Score Odds– Score1–0

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Kenya Police1.7565% X · Draw3.1523% 2 · Posta Rangers FC4.4512%

Double chance

1X1.1888% 121.2977% X21.8535%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.4760% Under 1.52.3740%

Goals 2.5

Over 2.52.2536% Under 2.51.5364%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.57.1614% · fair Under 3.51.1686% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.1544% NG · No1.5856%

Half-time result

HT 12.4242% HT X1.9348% HT 25.0010%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Kenya Police strong home favourites (65%). Table: Kenya Police 5th (9 pts), Posta Rangers FC 13th (7 pts).

Recent form

Kenya Police bring a D W L line into this one: one win from three. Most recent: at Homeboyz, 2–2 (drawn). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.3 a game.

Posta Rangers FC – sample of six: W D W L L L, with two wins. Most recent: at Mathare United, 2–1 (won). Just 0.8 goals per game in that run – a weak attacking signal.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Kenya Police 1.5, Posta Rangers FC 0.5 – 2.0 in total. Few chances projected: under 2.5 at 64%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 86. Likeliest score: Kenya Police 1–0 Posta Rangers FC. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.

Kenya Police

last 3
  • D@ Homeboyz2–27 Nov
  • Wv Ulinzi Stars1–029 Oct
  • Lv AFC Leopards1–220 Oct
1.3scored / game1.3conceded67%GG67%over 2.5

Posta Rangers FC

last 6
  • W@ Mathare United2–17 Nov
  • D@ Bandari0–028 Oct
  • Wv KCB1–023 Oct
  • L@ Murang'a SEAL1–518 Oct
  • Lv Shabana0–110 Oct
  • Lv 3K1–22 Oct
0.8scored / game1.5conceded50%GG50%over 2.5

Head-to-head

Every meeting →

No previous meeting in our data.

FKF Premier League table

League page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4APS Bomet7232+29
5Kenya Police6231+19
6Shabana6231+19
7Mara Sugar623109
83K6231-19
9Murang'a SEAL6222+28
10Migori Youth6141+17
11Bandari7142-17
12Ulinzi Stars7142-27
13Posta Rangers FC6213-47
14Tusker4202+26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the FootyMind prediction for Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?

The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 86.

Who is favourite, Kenya Police or Posta Rangers FC?

The model gives Kenya Police 65%, the draw 23% and Posta Rangers FC 12%.

What is the likeliest score in Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?

The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Kenya Police 1–0 Posta Rangers FC.

How many goals are expected in Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC?

Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 36% and both teams to score 44%.

When does Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers FC kick off?

Sunday 15 November 2026, 11:45 WAT – FKF Premier League.