England FA Cup Sat 19 Sep 2026 Full time

Brackley Town

LDWLL

1–0

Half-time 0–0

AFC Portchester

WLW

65%Brackley Town17%Draw18%AFC Portchester

Brackley Town vs AFC Portchester prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Missed ✗ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 3.2, clear of the 1.5 line. The line lands in 83% of the model's runs. Brackley Town won most recently (WLD). Mind Score 83.

83Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Brackley Town1.2865% X · Draw4.7517% 2 · AFC Portchester8.0018%

Double chance

1X1.0582% 121.1283% X23.2035%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.2083% · fair Under 1.56.0617% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.4065% Under 2.52.7535%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.52.4541% · fair Under 3.51.6959% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes2.0349% · fair NG · No1.9751% · fair

Half-time result

HT 11.6747% HT X2.8836% HT 26.5017%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The model makes Brackley Town strong home favourites (65%).

Recent form

Brackley Town bring a L L W D L L line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: at Morecambe, 0–3 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.

The last three for AFC Portchester read W L W (two wins). Most recent: v Portland United, 2–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.7 per game.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Brackley Town 2.2, AFC Portchester 1.0 – 3.2 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 65%, both to score at 49%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 83. Likeliest score: Brackley Town 2–1 AFC Portchester. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.