England FA Cup Sat 19 Sep 2026 Full time

Leamington

LDWWL

1–1

Half-time 1–0

Gainsborough Trinity

DWLWL

41%Leamington21%Draw38%Gainsborough Trinity

Leamington vs Gainsborough Trinity prediction: Over 1.5 goals

The Mind pick · Landed ✓ Over 1.5 goals

The goal projection sits at 3.8, clear of the 1.5 line. Probability 89%. Leamington's form is mixed (DLWL, 1 W 1 D 2 L); Gainsborough Trinity have no win in 3 (LLL). Mind Score 89.

89Mind Score Odds– Score2–1

The crowd's call

Fans' vote

Voting closed at kick-off.

Price v probability

Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pick

Match result

1 · Leamington2.5041% X · Draw3.3021% 2 · Gainsborough Trinity2.4538%

Double chance

1X1.4462% 121.2579% X21.4459%

Goals 1.5

Over 1.51.1289% · fair Under 1.59.0411% · fair

Goals 2.5

Over 2.51.6764% Under 2.52.1536%

Goals 3.5

Over 3.51.9352% · fair Under 3.52.0848% · fair

Both teams to score

GG · Yes1.6859% · fair NG · No2.4641% · fair

Half-time result

HT 13.0034% HT X2.3035% HT 22.8832%

Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.

The analysis

by Ade Ola, FootyMind analyst

Win probabilities

The ratings barely separate them: Leamington 41%, draw 21%, Gainsborough Trinity 38%.

Recent form

The last six for Leamington read L W W D L L (two wins). Most recent: at Bishop's Stortford, 1–3 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.5 a game.

The last six for Gainsborough Trinity read L W L W D L (two wins). Most recent: v Avro, 0–2 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.8 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.

Expected goals

Expected goals: Leamington 1.9, Gainsborough Trinity 1.8 – 3.8 in total. An open profile – over 2.5 64%, BTTS 59%.

The pick (settled)

The pre-match Mind pick was Over 1.5 goals – Mind Score 89. Likeliest score: Leamington 2–1 Gainsborough Trinity. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.