Buxton vs Ashton United prediction: Buxton or draw
Only a Buxton loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 9%. Buxton's latest result was a win (WDW); Ashton United's latest result was a win (WWL). Mind Score 91.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The model makes Buxton strong home favourites (70%).
Recent form
Buxton bring a W W L W W L line into this one: four wins from six. Most recent: v Chester, 3–1 (won). The attack is running at 2.3 per game.
Ashton United bring a L W L L D D line into this one: one win from six. Most recent: v Cleethorpes Town, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.3 and 1.5 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Head-to-head
Latest (Jul 2026): Buxton 1–0 Ashton United. The model weights current ratings above old meetings.
Expected goals
Expected goals: Buxton 3.3, Ashton United 1.4 – 4.7 in total. The grid favours goals: over 2.5 at 72%, both to score at 60%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Buxton or draw – Mind Score 91. Likeliest score: Buxton 3–1 Ashton United. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
Buxton
last 6- Wv Chester3–112 Sep
- Wv Brackley Town5–08 Sep
- L@ Morecambe0–45 Sep
- Wv Merthyr Town2–131 Aug
- W@ Oxford City3–228 Aug
- Lv Hebburn Town1–222 Aug
Ashton United
last 6- Lv Cleethorpes Town0–112 Sep
- W@ Whitby Town5–25 Sep
- L@ Curzon Ashton0–231 Aug
- Lv Gainsborough Trinity1–228 Aug
- Dv Ilkeston Town1–125 Aug
- D@ AFC Emley1–122 Aug
Head-to-head
Every meeting →- 10 Jul 2026Buxton1–0Ashton United
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Macclesfield2Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for Buxton vs Ashton United?
The Mind pick is Buxton or draw with a Mind Score of 91.
Who is favourite, Buxton or Ashton United?
The model gives Buxton 70%, the draw 21% and Ashton United 9%.
What is the likeliest score in Buxton vs Ashton United?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is Buxton 3–1 Ashton United.
How many goals are expected in Buxton vs Ashton United?
Around 4.7 in total – over 2.5 rates 72% and both teams to score 60%.
When does Buxton vs Ashton United kick off?
Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00 WAT – FA Cup.