APS Bomet vs 3K prediction: Under 3.5 goals
2.1 projected goals keeps this under 3.5. The line lands in 84% of the model's runs. APS Bomet's latest result was a win (WLWD); 3K's form is mixed (DLW, 1 W 1 D 1 L). Mind Score 84.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
The ratings barely separate them: APS Bomet 40%, draw 24%, 3K 36%. Table: APS Bomet 4th (9 pts), 3K 8th (9 pts).
Recent form
APS Bomet – sample of six: D D D L D W, with one win. Most recent: at Nairobi United, 1–1 (drawn). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
The last six for 3K read W D D W D W (three wins). Most recent: v Murang'a SEAL, 2–1 (won). Goals for and against: 1.8 and 1.3 a game. Zero clean sheets across the sample.
Expected goals
Expected goals: APS Bomet 1.1, 3K 1.0 – 2.1 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 64%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 84. Likeliest score: APS Bomet 1–0 3K. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
APS Bomet
last 6- D@ Nairobi United1–125 Oct
- D@ Mathare United0–010 Oct
- Dv Murang'a SEAL0–02 Oct
- Lv GOR Mahia0–14 Sep
- D@ Tusker1–131 May
- Wv AFC Leopards2–124 May
3K
last 6- Wv Murang'a SEAL2–125 Oct
- D@ Bandari1–119 Oct
- Dv Mara Sugar2–211 Oct
- W@ Posta Rangers FC2–12 Oct
- Dv Migori Youth1–113 Jun
- Wv Talanta3–21 Jun
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  APS Bomet | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Migori Youth | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Bandari | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ulinzi Stars | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for APS Bomet vs 3K?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 84.
Who is favourite, APS Bomet or 3K?
The model gives APS Bomet 40%, the draw 24% and 3K 36%.
What is the likeliest score in APS Bomet vs 3K?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is APS Bomet 1–0 3K.
How many goals are expected in APS Bomet vs 3K?
Around 2.1 in total – over 2.5 rates 36% and both teams to score 45%.
When does APS Bomet vs 3K kick off?
Wednesday 28 October 2026, 13:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.