KCB vs Mombasa Elite prediction: Under 3.5 goals
The model sees few chances: 2.0 goals in total. Mind Score 86. Mind Score 86.
The crowd's call
Fans' voteVoting closed at kick-off.
Price v probability
Bookmaker price · model probability under each · MIND = the pickMatch result
Double chance
Goals 1.5
Goals 2.5
Goals 3.5
Both teams to score
Half-time result
Prices come from our data feed when the page was built – check your bookmaker before betting. Where no bookmaker price exists, the model's fair odds (100 ÷ probability) are shown. 18+.
The analysis
by Ade Ola, FootyMind analystWin probabilities
KCB edge it at home, 57% to 22%, with the draw on 22%. Table: KCB 2nd (13 pts), Mombasa Elite 18th (1 pts).
Recent form
KCB bring a L W D W L W line into this one: three wins from six. Most recent: at Posta Rangers FC, 0–1 (lost). Goals for and against: 1.2 and 1.2 a game.
The last six for Mombasa Elite read L L L W D D (one win). Most recent: at Mara Sugar, 1–2 (lost). Output has stalled at 0.7 goals a game.
Expected goals
Expected goals: KCB 1.3, Mombasa Elite 0.6 – 2.0 in total. A low-event profile – under 2.5 rates 65%.
The pick (settled)
The pre-match Mind pick was Under 3.5 goals – Mind Score 86. Likeliest score: KCB 1–0 Mombasa Elite. Settled on the 90-minute score. 18+ – stake only what you can afford.
KCB
last 6- L@ Posta Rangers FC0–123 Oct
- Wv Mathare United1–017 Oct
- D@ Nairobi United2–211 Oct
- W@ GOR Mahia2–12 Oct
- Lv Bandari0–214 Jun
- W@ Shabana2–131 May
Mombasa Elite
last 6- L@ Mara Sugar1–219 Oct
- Lv Homeboyz0–114 Oct
- L@ Migori Youth0–22 Oct
- Wv Kariobangi Sharks2–11 Oct
- Dv Police0–011 Sep
- D@ Naivas1–113 Jun
Head-to-head
Every meeting →No previous meeting in our data.
FKF Premier League table
League page →| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  APS Bomet | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 7 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Migori Youth | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Bandari | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Ulinzi Stars | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
More FKF Premier League predictions
League page →Frequently asked questions
What is the FootyMind prediction for KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
The Mind pick is Under 3.5 goals with a Mind Score of 86.
Who is favourite, KCB or Mombasa Elite?
The model gives KCB 57%, the draw 22% and Mombasa Elite 22%.
What is the likeliest score in KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
The most frequent scoreline in the model's grid is KCB 1–0 Mombasa Elite.
How many goals are expected in KCB vs Mombasa Elite?
Around 2.0 in total – over 2.5 rates 35% and both teams to score 42%.
When does KCB vs Mombasa Elite kick off?
Wednesday 28 October 2026, 13:00 WAT – FKF Premier League.