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Goals · Saturday 14 November 2026

Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions yesterday

Saturday 14 November: the model qualifies 439 games for over/under 3.5, at an average Mind Score of 66. The biggest share comes from England FA Trophy. Settled : 271 landed · 136 missed.

Tips by · FootyMind analystModel refreshed 15 Nov 2026, 05:12 WAT · Settled publicly on the track record

Four goals or more, or three at most – the wider goals line. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.

How they finished

KenyaFKF Premier LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Postponed Nairobi UnitedMara Sugar 432433 Mind pickOver 3.5 goalsMS 57
FT Ulinzi Stars1Migori Youth1 292546 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 86

WorldFriendliesHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Argentina1Uruguay2 622414 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 69@1.28
FT Colombia1Chile0 702010 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 71@1.33
FT Ecuador2Costa Rica0 72217 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 65@1.40
FT Peru2Bolivia0 602416 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 73@1.25
FT Bahrain3Yemen1 682111 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 76@1.24
FT Thailand U233Singapore U231 671914 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 64@1.30
FT Japan3Brazil2 192061 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 62@1.50
FT China2Malaysia0 661816 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 68@1.42
FT Vietnam U231Qatar U231 372439 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 78@1.21

North & Central AmericaCONCACAF Nations LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Montserrat1Nicaragua2 142165 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 61@1.44
FT Guatemala2Canada3 201763 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 68@1.32

USAUSL Super LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Lexington W4Fort Lauderdale United W0 682111 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 68@1.39

MexicoLiga Premier Serie AHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Guerreros del Pacifico1FC Santiago1 192061 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 59@1.51

PanamaLiga Panameña De FútbolHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Sporting San Miguelito0CD Arabe Unido1 382240 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 78@1.17
FT UMECIT2Plaza Amador4 382141 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 73@1.22

ColombiaPrimera AHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Internacional de Bogota0Santa Fe2 342244 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 69@1.34

HomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Reboceros La Piedad0Racing de Veracruz2 172162 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 71@1.23

AustraliaAustralian ChampionshipHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Sydney United1South Melbourne0 362044 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 74@1.30

JapanJ2 LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Oita Trinita1Tochigi City6 502129 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 68@1.38
FT Shonan Bellmare2Yokohama FC0 251758 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 70@1.34
FT Albirex Niigata1Tegevajaro Miyazaki3 322246 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 75@1.19
FT Omiya Ardija2Montedio Yamagata1 601921 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 64@1.53
FT Fujieda MYFC1Ventforet Kofu0 612316 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 72@1.26

JapanJ3 LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Fukushima United1Sagamihara0 352045 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 61@1.47
FT FC Gifu0Matsumoto Yamaga0 402139 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 70@1.35
FT Kitakyushu4Thespakusatsu Gunma3 592318 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 65@1.44

Hong-KongLeague CupHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT North District4Hong Kong FC3 691912 Pick landed ✓Over 3.5 goalsMS 55@1.64

South-AfricaDiski ChallengeHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT AmaZulu U230Mamelodi Sundowns U233 162163 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 63
– Milford FC U23Kaizer Chiefs U23 152362 Mind pickUnder 3.5 goalsMS 60

AsiaSAFF ChampionshipHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT India2Bhutan1 75169 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 58@1.73

Czech-Republic3. Liga CFL BHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Horní Ředice1Sokol Zápy2 141769 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 59@1.56
FT Neratovice-Byškovice3Velké Hamry1 652114 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 55@1.72

Czech-Republic4. Liga Divizie CHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Chlumec nad Cidlinou2Přepeře4 372043 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 60@1.56

UkraineDruha LigaHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Metalurh Zaporizhya3Trostianets0 362242 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 80

Turkey2. LigHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT 68 Aksaray Belediyespor4Hatayspor1 70219 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 62@1.56
FT Ankaraspor1Aliağa FAŞ1 202159 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 63@1.44
FT İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik0Çorluspor 19470 362143 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 68@1.31
FT Sebat Gençlikspor5Adana Demirspor1 75178 Pick landed ✓Over 3.5 goalsMS 56@1.52
FT Adana 01 FK31461 Trabzon FK0 622216 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 65@1.35
FT Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor5Fethiyespor1 662311 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 66@1.41
FT Kütahyaspor2Ankaragücü1 442234 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 66@1.35
FT Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı1Serik Spor1 631522 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 67@1.36
FT Kırklarelispor1İnegölspor0 372241 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 70@1.31
FT Menemen FK0Isparta 32 Spor4 482131 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 66@1.39
FT Somaspor1Arnavutköy Belediyespor2 631918 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 70@1.30
FT Sakaryaspor1Ankara Demirspor2 611920 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 60@1.44

UkrainePersha LigaHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Suspended SK PoltavaAhrobiznes Volochysk 462232 Mind pickUnder 3.5 goalsMS 75@1.21

RussiaSupreme Division WomenHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Lokomotiv Moskva W2Rostov W1 751411 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 57@1.80
FT Spartak Moskva W3CSKA Moskva W1 322246 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 73@1.21
FT Krasnodar W3Zvezda Perm W0 472132 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 75@1.23
FT Rubin Kazan W0Krylya Sovetov W4 342145 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 71@1.31

EuropeUEFA U19 Championship QualificationHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Bosnia-Herzegovina U193Georgia U190 451936 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 60@1.58
FT Montenegro U191Faroe Islands U190 70219 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 56@2.01
FT Czechia U191Croatia U191 442135 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 73@1.27
FT Luxembourg U194Andorra U190 631720 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 64@1.46
FT Northern Ireland U193Malta U191 692011 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 59@1.60
FT Switzerland U191North Macedonia U190 672112 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 58@1.68

WorldFriendlies ClubsHomeDrawAwayMind pick

FT Legia Warszawa4Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2 651421 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 60@1.50
FT CSKA Moscow4Arsenal Tula1 651916 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 59@1.46
FT Obolon'-Brovar3Nyva Vinnytsya1 711811 Pick missed ✗Under 3.5 goalsMS 62@1.56
FT Widzew Łódź1Unia Skierniewice0 631720 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 57@1.68
FT Novi Pazar0Otrant-Olympic0 602218 Pick landed ✓Under 3.5 goalsMS 67@1.41

The over/under 3.5 numbers, yesterday

439 qualifying games on Saturday 14 November, average Mind Score 66. Leagues with the most entries: England FA Trophy (31), Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (19), Turkey 2. Lig (12). 12 carry a price longer than the model's fair odds.

Over/under 3.5 explained

Over/Under 3.5 goals sets the bar at four goals – fewer winners on the over, more on the under.

Over: 3–1, 2–2, 4–0. Under: anything up to three goals, such as 2–1 or 3–0.

When the model likes it

Over 3.5 appears only for games with very high projections and two open defences; under 3.5 is common for controlled, lower-tempo fixtures.

Rules of thumb

  • Over 3.5 swings wildly – small stakes only.
  • Under 3.5 is a steady accumulator leg in tight leagues.
  • The likeliest scores on each match page show the spread.

Where these numbers come from

The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.

Prefer a ready-made ticket? Try the free slips, the accumulator or compare every market.

Frequently asked questions

How common are four-goal games?

Roughly one in four or five, depending on the league.

Is under 3.5 a good acca leg?

Often, in low-scoring leagues – but check the price.

How are these over/under 3.5 picks chosen?

Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the over/under 3.5 probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.

What is the Mind Score?

The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.

Are losing picks removed?

Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.