Home Win Predictions yesterday
Friday 13 November: the model qualifies 71 games for home wins, at an average Mind Score of 66. The biggest share comes from Africa Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification. Settled : 41 landed · 29 missed.
Home sides the model makes clear favourites. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
How they finished
NigeriaNPFLHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Shooting Stars2
Bendel Insurance1
FranceCoupe De FranceHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Dijon1
Orleans2AfricaAfrica Cup Of Nations QualificationHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Comoros0
Congo0
Mozambique0
Ethiopia1
Zambia1
Burundi1
Burkina Faso1
Mauritania0
Cape Verde Islands4
Liberia2
Gabon2
Lesotho0
Nigeria3
Tanzania1
South Africa2
Kenya2
Tunisia0
Libya2
Egypt5
Malawi0
Mali3
Rwanda2
Morocco5
Niger1EuropeUEFA Nations LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Netherlands7
Greece0
Slovakia2
Faroe Islands2
Andorra2
Gibraltar0
Scotland2
FYR Macedonia1
UruguayPrimera División AperturaHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Cerro Largo2
Progreso2
Atletico Torque2
Racing Montevideo2
ColombiaPrimera AHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Llaneros0
Chico0
MexicoLiga De Expansión MXHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Monarcas1
Leones Negros UDG0
MongoliaPremier LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Ulaanbaatar7
Hunters1
AustraliaAustralian ChampionshipHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Oakleigh Cannons2
Marconi Stallions2
UkrainePersha LigaHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Prykarpattia1
Kolos Kovalivka II1UkraineDruha LigaHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Karbon Cherkasy1
Atlet4WorldFriendlies ClubsHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Vasteras SK FK1
IF Brommapojkarna1
PolandIII Liga Group 3HomeDrawAwayMind pick
Goczałkowice Zdrój2
Stilon Gorzów1
RomaniaLiga III Serie 6HomeDrawAwayMind pick
CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin4
Unirea Bascov0
EgyptSecond LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Haras El Hodood1
El Dakhleya0
Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat1
Team0
Czech-Republic3. Liga MSFLHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Sigma Olomouc II3
Zbrojovka Brno II1
OmanFA CupHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Sohar0
Al Musannah0EuropeUEFA U21 Championship QualificationHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Finland U211
Republic of Ireland U210
Slovenia2. SNLHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Triglav4
Bilje2
AustriaFrauenligaHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Sturm Graz W2
First Vienna W3WorldFriendliesHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Germany U211
Belgium U212
France U211
Italy U212
Jordan
Indonesia
Albania U213
Luxembourg U211
Spain U212
Japan U210
England U210
Portugal U211PolandII Liga EastHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Znicz Pruszków2
Sokół Kleczew2
AlgeriaLigue 1HomeDrawAwayMind pick
JS Saoura1
Khenchela1Czech-Republic3. Liga CFL AHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Viktoria Plzeň II0
Loko Vltavín2
GermanyFrauen BundesligaHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Hamburger SV W6
Mainz 05 W1
Denmark2. DivisionHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Skive1
Thisted FC2Denmark3. DivisionHomeDrawAwayMind pick
FC Helsingor3
Holstebro3FranceFeminine Division 1HomeDrawAwayMind pick
Nantes W2
Lens W0
SpainPrimera División RFEF Group 1HomeDrawAwayMind pick
Ponferradina1
Cacereño2GermanyRegionalliga BayernHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Bayreuth3
Vilzing1
Buchbach2
Greuther Fürth II0GermanyRegionalliga SudWestHomeDrawAwayMind pick
FC 08 Homburg0
FSV Frankfurt1EuropeU20 Elite LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Switzerland U203
Romania U201GermanyRegionalliga NordHomeDrawAwayMind pick
SV DrochtersenAssel3
VfB Oldenburg2North & Central AmericaCONCACAF Nations LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Puerto Rico4
Dominica2
EnglandPremier League CupHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Peterborough United U211
Newcastle United U210
VenezuelaSegunda DivisiónHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Deportivo Lara2
Zamora FC B1
WalesFAW ChampionshipHomeDrawAwayMind pick
Denbigh Town7
Gresford Athletic1
Swansea University2
Treowen Stars3The home wins numbers, yesterday
71 qualifying games on Friday 13 November, average Mind Score 66. Leagues with the most entries: Africa Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification (12), Friendlies (6), Europe UEFA Nations League (4). 30 carry a price longer than the model's fair odds.
Home wins explained
Home sides the model makes clear favourites today, highest Mind Score first.
Only a home win after 90 minutes pays. A draw loses.
When the model likes it
The best of them combine a real quality gap, strong home numbers and visitors who travel poorly.
Rules of thumb
- Home advantage varies a lot between leagues.
- Very short prices rarely justify a single.
- Team news can change a home banker in a minute.
Where these numbers come from
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
Prefer a ready-made ticket? Try the free slips, the accumulator or compare every market.
Frequently asked questions
Are these sure wins?
No. They are likely results, and upsets happen every week.
How many teams are listed?
Every home side above the day's probability bar.
How are these home wins picks chosen?
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the home wins probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
What is the Mind Score?
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Are losing picks removed?
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.