Finlandvs
San Marino
Only a Finland loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 6%. Mind Score 94.
Full analysisSunday 15 November: the model qualifies 31 games for double chance, at an average Mind Score of 85. Top of the list: Finland vs San Marino – Finland or draw (MS 94).
Two results out of three covered – 1X or X2 – where one side looks hard to beat. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
Only a Finland loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 6%. Mind Score 94.
Full analysisCovering two results: Roeselare Daisel win or draw (93%). Roeselare Daisel's form is mixed (DWW, 2 W 1 D 0 L); Harelbeke were beaten last time (LWL). Mind Score 93.
Full analysisCovering two results: TSC Backa Topola win or draw (93%). TSC Backa Topola's form is mixed (DLW, 1 W 1 D 1 L). Mind Score 93.
Full analysisOnly a Häcken W loss beats this pick, and the model puts that at 9%. Häcken W's form is mixed (DDWD, 1 W 3 D 0 L); Piteå W's form is mixed (DLW, 1 W 1 D 1 L). Mind Score 91.
Full analysis31 qualifying games on Sunday 15 November, average Mind Score 85. Highest still to play: Finland vs San Marino (UEFA Nations League) – Finland or draw, MS 94. Leagues with the most entries: Spain Segunda División RFEF Group 5 (3), Argentina Primera Nacional (2), Japan J2 League (2). 12 carry a price longer than the model's fair odds.
Double chance covers two of the three outcomes in one selection: 1X (home or draw), X2 (away or draw) or 12 (no draw).
X2 on Villarreal away wins if Villarreal win or draw; it only loses to a home win. Prices usually sit between 1.10 and 1.50.
It suits sides that rarely lose but draw often, and strong teams playing away. 12 is worth a look when both teams project to attack and the draw rates low.
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
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Safer than 1X2, which is exactly why it pays less. Nothing is certain.
The one with the best Mind Score at a fair price for each match.
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the double chance probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.