Finlandvs
San Marino
Each half is modelled separately from the 3.5-goal projection. Mind Score 64.
Full analysisSunday 15 November: the model qualifies 308 games for HT result, at an average Mind Score of 44. Top of the list: Finland vs San Marino – Finland ahead at half-time (MS 64).
Who leads at the break – home, level or away. Ranked by Mind Score – open any game for the full analysis.
Each half is modelled separately from the 3.5-goal projection. Mind Score 64.
Full analysisEven contests tend to open cautiously, and the first-half grid reflects that. Mind Score 55.
Full analysisEach half is modelled separately from the 3.2-goal projection. Roeselare Daisel's form is mixed (DWW, 2 W 1 D 0 L); Harelbeke were beaten last time (LWL). Mind Score 57.
Full analysisEach half is modelled separately from the 4.1-goal projection. Deportivo de La Coruña W arrive off a defeat (LLW); Barcelona W carry a 4-match unbeaten sequence (DWWW). Mind Score 56.
Full analysis308 qualifying games on Sunday 15 November, average Mind Score 44. Highest still to play: Finland vs San Marino (UEFA Nations League) – Finland ahead at half-time, MS 64. Leagues with the most entries: Spain Segunda División RFEF Group 3 (9), Italy Serie D Girone A (9), Italy Serie D Girone H (9).
Half-time result is 1X2 for the first 45 minutes only: home ahead, level, or away ahead at the break.
The score at half-time decides it. A 0–0 first half wins an X pick even if the game finishes 3–1.
First halves are lower-scoring, so the draw is far likelier than in the full match. The model splits its goal projection by half to read this market.
The model rates each team's attack and defence from roughly a season of results, weighted towards recent games. Those ratings give a goal projection for both sides, and the projection becomes a grid of every possible score. Every market – this one included – is read from that grid, so a match's picks never contradict each other. Bookmaker prices are shown alongside; when the Mind Score beats what the price implies, the pick carries value. Full detail on how the model works.
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Yes – everything up to the half-time whistle.
Fewer goals are scored before the break.
Every team carries attack and defence ratings. The model projects each side's goals, builds a grid of every possible score and reads the HT result probability straight from it. Highest Mind Scores come first.
The model's probability for the pick, out of 100. MS 70 means roughly seven landings in ten similar games – and three misses.
Never. Every pick settles on the 90-minute score and stays on the Yesterday tab and the track record.