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Price v Mind Score

Value picks tomorrow

Selections where the bookmaker pays clearly more than the model's fair price. They land less often than the main picks and pay more when they do – a long-run approach for small, level stakes.

Tips by · FootyMind analystModel refreshed 14 Nov 2026, 02:52 WAT · Settled publicly on the track record

KenyaFKF Premier LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Kenya PolicePosta Rangers FC 652312xG 1.5–0.4 Value pickHome winMS 65@1.75
Sun 15 Nov AFC LeopardsMombasa Elite 70219xG 1.4–0.2 Value pickUnder 2.5 goalsMS 66@1.62
Sun 15 Nov 3KGOR Mahia 141967xG 1.0–2.4 Value pickBoth teams scoreMS 54@2.30

EuropeUEFA Nations LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov LatviaArmenia 291754xG 1.0–1.5 Value pickAway winMS 54@2.30
Sun 15 Nov CyprusMontenegro 331849xG 1.0–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 49@2.37
Sun 15 Nov BelarusAlbania 292249xG 0.9–1.4 Value pickHome winMS 29@4.00
Sun 15 Nov BelgiumItaly 432037xG 1.6–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 38@3.28
Sun 15 Nov SpainEngland 672112xG 2.5–1.0 Value pickHome winMS 67@1.73
Sun 15 Nov CroatiaCzech Republic 681715xG 2.3–0.9 Value pickBoth teams scoreMS 60@1.80

ArgentinaPrimera NacionalHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Gimnasia JujuyAlmirante Brown 642115xG 1.6–0.6 Value pickHome winMS 64@1.85
Sun 15 Nov Deportivo MoronColegiales 572518xG 1.4–0.6 Value pickHome winMS 57@1.90
Sun 15 Nov Godoy CruzTristan Suarez 452431xG 1.1–0.8 Value pickAway winMS 31@3.60

MexicoLiga MXHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Club QueretaroMonterrey 241462xG 1.1–2.0 Value pickAway winMS 62@1.91

USAUSL ChampionshipHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Charleston BatteryLouisville City 402139xG 1.4–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 40@2.88

New-ZealandNational League NationalHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Cashmere TechnicalWellington Olympic 651223xG 2.4–1.3 Value pickHome winMS 65@1.83

WorldFriendlies ClubsHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov New York Red BullsClub America 431542xG 1.7–1.6 Value pickHome winMS 43@2.78

El-SalvadorPrimera DivisionHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Isidro MetapánFirpo 451837xG 1.3–1.1 Value pickHome winMS 45@2.52

JapanJ2 LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Consadole SapporoSagan Tosu 382141xG 1.2–1.3 Value pickHome winMS 38@3.06
Sun 15 Nov ImabariJubilo Iwata 132265xG 0.8–2.0 Value pickAway winMS 65@1.81
Sun 15 Nov Kataller ToyamaTokushima Vortis 632413xG 1.9–0.7 Value pickHome winMS 63@1.76

JapanJ3 LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Parceiro NaganoEhime FC 202060xG 1.0–1.9 Value pickAway winMS 60@1.83
Sun 15 Nov KanazawaRoasso Kumamoto 422137xG 1.4–1.3 Value pickAway winMS 38@2.90
Sun 15 Nov FC RyukyuKochi United 621523xG 1.9–1.0 Value pickHome winMS 62@1.94

RussiaFirst LeagueHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Ska-khabarovskLeningradets 642412xG 1.9–0.7 Value pickHome winMS 64@1.70
Sun 15 Nov ChelyabinskVeles 461836xG 1.4–1.2 Value pickAway winMS 37@3.54
Sun 15 Nov FC UFASpartak Kostroma 412336xG 1.2–1.1 Value pickBoth teams scoreMS 53@2.08

Czech-Republic3. Liga CFL BHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Teplice IIHradec Králové II 391645xG 1.4–1.6 Value pickAway winMS 45@3.15

Czech-Republic3. Liga CFL AHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Admira PrahaSlavia III 421642xG 1.7–1.7 Value pickAway winMS 42@2.67
Sun 15 Nov PísekBenešov 531532xG 2.0–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 32@3.94

PolandIII Liga Group 4HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Korona Kielce IIMoravia Morawica 491536xG 1.9–1.6 Value pickAway winMS 36@4.40
Sun 15 Nov KS Wieczysta Krakow IIHetman Zamosc 371647xG 1.4–1.6 Value pickAway winMS 47@2.55

RussiaSecond League A Fall Season GoldHomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Dinamo BryanskMashuk-KMV 321949xG 1.0–1.3 Value pickAway winMS 49@2.88
Sun 15 Nov NovosibirskDinamo Vladivostok 391843xG 1.1–1.2 Value pickAway winMS 43@2.81
Sun 15 Nov Alaniya VladikavkazRodina Moskva II 411742xG 1.4–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 42@2.72
Sun 15 Nov KalugaFK Sokol Saratov 311851xG 1.0–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 52@2.16

SpainSegunda División RFEF Group 3HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Lorca DeportivaMallorca II 641719xG 1.8–0.8 Value pickHome winMS 64@1.78
Sun 15 Nov CiezaPeña Deportiva 642115xG 1.8–0.7 Value pickHome winMS 64@1.72
Sun 15 Nov YeclanoCastellón II 382141xG 1.3–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 41@2.96
Sun 15 Nov La NucíaValencia II 402139xG 1.4–1.4 Value pickAway winMS 40@2.90
Sun 15 Nov AlcoyanoIntercity 602317xG 1.8–0.8 Value pickHome winMS 60@1.81

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 5HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov TonaVilassar Mar 461836xG 1.3–1.1 Value pickAway winMS 37@3.30
Sun 15 Nov L'HospitaletEuropa II 461737xG 1.4–1.2 Value pickAway winMS 37@3.12

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 7HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Colonia MoscardóGalapagar 491635xG 1.7–1.3 Value pickAway winMS 34@4.05
Sun 15 Nov Unión AdarveLas Rozas 521830xG 1.7–1.2 Value pickHome winMS 52@2.29

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 1HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Celta de Vigo IIIViveiro 451738xG 1.3–1.2 Value pickAway winMS 39@3.54
Sun 15 Nov ArenteiroVillalbés 371845xG 1.1–1.3 Value pickAway winMS 45@2.54

SpainTercera División RFEF Group 9HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Almería IIMelilla 401743xG 1.2–1.3 Value pickAway winMS 43@2.84

SpainPrimera División RFEF Group 1HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov Extremadura 1924Pontevedra 642214xG 1.8–0.7 Value pickHome winMS 64@1.90

SpainSegunda División RFEF Group 5HomeDrawAwayMind pick

Sun 15 Nov SS ReyesReal Madrid III 592219xG 1.5–0.7 Value pickHome winMS 59@2.04
Sun 15 Nov NavalcarneroGetafe II 602515xG 2.0–0.9 Value pickHome winMS 60@1.95
Sun 15 Nov Gimnástica SegovianaReal Ávila 602119xG 1.8–0.9 Value pickHome winMS 60@1.88

Tomorrow's value picks

150 selections priced longer than the model's fair odds, at an average of 2.71. The biggest gap: Korona Kielce II vs Moravia Morawica – Moravia Morawica to win at 4.40, rated 36% by the model against the 23% the price implies.

Around 2.71 you need about 37% winners to break even. 30-day record: 1,692 of 3,897 landed (43%). Value is measured over hundreds of bets, never one afternoon.

Playing value picks sensibly

  • Flat, small stakes – roughly 1–2% of a betting bank.
  • Singles, not combinations.
  • If the price has shortened, the edge has gone – leave it.
  • Losing runs of five or more are normal at these prices.

Where the edge comes from

Any price can be turned into a probability: 2.50 means about 40% (100 ÷ 2.50) before the bookmaker's margin. If the model rates the same outcome at 46% or more, the price is generous – and taking generous prices again and again is the only way an edge becomes a return.

Value picks are kept apart from the main predictions because they land less often. The results page tracks both, side by side.

Frequently asked questions

What qualifies as a value pick?

Mind Score × price must reach at least 1.06 – a 6% edge over the model's fair odds – at prices between 1.60 and 4.50.

Do value picks land more often?

No – less often than the main Mind picks. The point is a positive return over many small, level stakes.

Why do draws show up so much?

Bookmakers tend to price draws long in close games; when the model rates the draw well above the price, it appears here.